Escalating conflict in the Middle East has triggered unusual market behavior, with traditional safe havens and risk assets moving in paradoxical patterns.
Anomalies Observed:
- Gold & Bitcoin Divergence: Gold +3.1% while BTC -6.2%
- Oil-Stocks Correlation: Breached 2-year average (now at 0.78)
- Currency Paradox: Swiss franc weakened despite risk-off sentiment
New Playbook Emerging:
- Defense Stocks as Havens: Lockheed Martin +8.3%
- EM Resilience: Saudi Tadawul +1.2% despite regional tensions
- Commodity Currencies: CAD outperformed JPY