Tanks vs. Tickers: How Middle East Tensions Are Warping Global Market Correlations

Escalating conflict in the Middle East has triggered unusual market behavior, with traditional safe havens and risk assets moving in paradoxical patterns.

Anomalies Observed:

  • Gold & Bitcoin Divergence: Gold +3.1% while BTC -6.2%
  • Oil-Stocks Correlation: Breached 2-year average (now at 0.78)
  • Currency Paradox: Swiss franc weakened despite risk-off sentiment

New Playbook Emerging:

  1. Defense Stocks as Havens: Lockheed Martin +8.3%
  2. EM Resilience: Saudi Tadawul +1.2% despite regional tensions
  3. Commodity Currencies: CAD outperformed JPY

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