Bitcoin’s relentless rally past $185,000 has forced Wall Street to confront flawed forecasting models, with Standard Chartered’s public apology underscoring the asset’s defiance of traditional valuation frameworks.
Model Limitations Exposed:
-
Stock-to-Flow Flaws: Failed to predict post-halving velocity.
-
Correlation Shifts: BTC now inversely correlated to Fed rate hikes.
-
Retail Frenzy: 45% of Gen Z investors hold BTC vs. 12% in 2023.
Industry Response:
-
Goldman Sachs: Launches AI-driven BTC volatility predictor.
-
JPMorgan: Quietly allocates 5% of hedge fund to Bitcoin mining stocks.
Expert Commentary:
“Bitcoin is a paradigm shift, not a asset,” said ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood. “Wall Street’s models are like predicting SpaceX with 1960s NASA tools.”