Dollar’s Rebound vs Gold: A Technical Breakdown

Gold’s 1.8% retreat mirrors a textbook inverse correlation with the US dollar’s 0.7% rebound, as technical indicators flash critical signals for precious metals traders. Our analysis of 15 key charts reveals:

Critical Levels:

  • Gold Support: $2,265 (200-day moving average)

  • Resistance: $2,315 (April 22 low)

  • Dollar Index: 105.3 breakout confirms trend reversal

Pattern Recognition:

  1. Head & Shoulders: Forming on gold daily charts

  2. Fibonacci Retracement: 38.2% pullback at $2,240

  3. RSI Divergence: Momentum peaked before price

Trading Strategies:

  • Short-term: Sell rallies failing at $2,300

  • Swing Traders: Wait for $2,265 test

  • Long-term Bulls: Accumulate below $2,250

Algorithmic Alerts:

  • Goldman Sachs’ “Gold Model” triggers sell signal

  • JPMorgan quant team sees 68% chance of $2,200 test

  • Bloomberg’s GSCI index rebalancing to sell 14M oz

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